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Gangneung vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Son M.
41' Event
Park S.

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gangneung
6%
Draws
90%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen have won more games recently than Gangneung.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ulsan Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 17%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Ulsan Citizen
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Ulsan Citizen
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Son M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 10 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangneung found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ulsan Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gangneung remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Ulsan Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429