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Gangwon vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gangwon host Incheon in the K League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Incheon have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Gangwon have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Gangwon slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Gangwon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gangwon
35%
Draws
30%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Incheon average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Gangwon's 1.2.
  • Win probability leans Gangwon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gangwon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 68%
Incheon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Incheon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
1:3
Jun 30, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gangwon
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
4:1
Sep 24, 2023 K League 1
Gangwon vs Incheon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 59 / 100
Incheon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gangwon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gangwon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Incheon let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Gangwon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Incheon
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
06 Sept
Anyang
0 : 3
Gangwon
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Incheon

(Away)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
30 Aug
Incheon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)