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Ganshoren vs SB Stade Mouscronnois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group ACFF
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ganshoren host SB Stade Mouscronnois in the Second Amateur Division Group ACFF. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ganshoren have averaged 2.47 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against SB Stade Mouscronnois's 2.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.06) point toward Ganshoren. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ganshoren
20%
Draws
40%
SB Stade Mouscronnois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ganshoren lately — more wins on the board than SB Stade Mouscronnois.
  • Model gives Ganshoren a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ganshoren Clean Sheet 10%
SB Stade Mouscronnois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganshoren SB Stade Mouscronnois
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 19 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 2.47 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganshoren 47 / 100
SB Stade Mouscronnois 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganshoren SB Stade Mouscronnois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ganshoren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ganshoren's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SB Stade Mouscronnois let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Recent resilience: Ganshoren stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

SB Stade Mouscronnois lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ganshoren VS SB Stade Mouscronnois
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ganshoren

(Home)
04 Oct
Binche
2 : 1
Ganshoren
27 Sept
Ganshoren
5 : 1
Eupen 2
20 Sept
SG-Tertre Hautrage
1 : 2
Ganshoren
13 Sept
Ganshoren
4 : 0
Crossing Schaerbeek
05 Sept
Ostiches
2 : 2
Ganshoren
Page 1 of 6

SB Stade Mouscronnois

(Away)
03 Oct
SB Stade Mouscronnois
3 : 2
Entite Manageoise
27 Sept
Aywaille
0 : 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois
19 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois
3 : 4
La Calamine
12 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois
2 : 1
Acren
06 Sept
Binche
4 : 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 7 5 1 1 20:12 16
2 Jette 7 4 3 0 14:6 15
3 Ganshoren 7 4 1 2 20:12 13
4 RCS Brainois 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
5 SG-Tertre Hautrage 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
6 Eupen 2 7 3 3 1 16:13 12
7 Stade Vervietois 7 3 2 2 16:10 11
8 SB Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 17:14 11
9 Binche 7 3 2 2 14:16 11
10 Richelle 7 3 1 3 13:11 10
11 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 12:10 10
12 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
13 Stockay-Warfusee 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Hutoise 7 2 2 3 8:13 8
15 Acren 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
16 Namur 7 1 1 5 5:18 4
17 Entite Manageoise 7 0 2 5 10:19 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 3:16 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group ACFF (Play Offs)