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Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
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AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gantaalaha Afgooye and Elman finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
15%
Draws
57%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gantaalaha Afgooye haven't matched Elman's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elman taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%
Elman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gantaalaha Afgooye Elman
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.73
Goals Conceded 4.59 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Elman
0:2
May 7, 2026 National league
Elman vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gantaalaha Afgooye 10 / 100
Elman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gantaalaha Afgooye Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gantaalaha Afgooye's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Elman let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Elman registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gantaalaha Afgooye VS Elman
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
4.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)