Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garching vs Sonthofen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Hindelang A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 game between Garching and Sonthofen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonthofen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Garching
15%
Draws
26%
Sonthofen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Garching

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonthofen come out ahead of Garching on wins alone.
  • Model gives Garching a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sonthofen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Garching Clean Sheet 19%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garching Sonthofen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Sonthofen
0:1
Aug 13, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Garching
4:3
Mar 12, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs Garching
2:0
Aug 15, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Sonthofen
0:1
May 11, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Sonthofen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garching Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sonthofen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hindelang A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garching 85 / 100
Sonthofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garching Sonthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garching Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonthofen has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Garching scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Garching remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sonthofen
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garching

(Home)
01 Jun
Garching
4 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Garching
25 May
Garching
2 : 2
Seebach
22 May
Seebach
2 : 4
Garching
18 May
Garching
4 : 5
Deisenhofen
Page 1 of 6

Sonthofen

(Away)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Erlbach 34 21 6 7 50:28 69
2 Heimstetten 34 21 5 8 64:37 68
3 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 20 7 7 76:35 67
4 Landsberg 34 21 3 10 86:52 66
5 Deisenhofen 34 18 9 7 68:37 63
6 Nordlingen 34 17 7 10 66:50 58
7 Munich 1860 II 34 16 7 11 62:49 55
8 Pipinsried 34 12 11 11 47:41 47
9 Kottern-St. Mang 34 12 11 11 59:53 47
10 Sonthofen 34 13 6 15 53:50 45
11 Rain/Lech 34 13 5 16 43:54 44
12 Kirchanschoring 34 12 7 15 38:49 43
13 Ismaning 34 12 7 15 44:62 43
14 Dachau 34 12 5 17 53:69 41
15 Gundelfingen 34 10 5 19 40:57 35
16 Turkspor Augsburg 34 6 11 17 29:52 29
17 Garching 34 6 4 24 37:86 22
18 Kirchheimer 34 3 6 25 38:92 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Relegation)