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Garde-Cotes vs Gendarmerie

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Garde-Cotes and Gendarmerie finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Garde-Cotes
20%
Draws
80%
Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Garde-Cotes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Gendarmerie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Garde-Cotes Clean Sheet 23%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garde-Cotes Gendarmerie
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Division 1
Garde-Cotes vs Gendarmerie
2:2
Nov 29, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Garde-Cotes
0:0
May 24, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Garde-Cotes
3:1
Jan 23, 2024 Division 1
Garde-Cotes vs Gendarmerie
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garde-Cotes 10 / 100
Gendarmerie 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garde-Cotes Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendarmerie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gendarmerie conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Garde-Cotes found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Difficult form: Gendarmerie registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garde-Cotes VS Gendarmerie
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garde-Cotes

(Home)
08 Sept
Singida Black Stars
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
05 Sept
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
6 : 0
Garde-Cotes
02 Sept
Garde-Cotes
0 : 4
Police FC
24 May
AS Arta
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
04 May
FC Arta
0 : 0
Garde-Cotes
Page 1 of 7

Gendarmerie

(Away)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)