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Garden Village vs Ely Rangers

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Garden Village and Ely Rangers finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Garden Village.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Garden Village
15%
Draws
57%
Ely Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ely Rangers have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Garden Village are scoring more at 1.67.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 16%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garden Village Ely Rangers
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2010 Division 1
Garden Village vs Ely Rangers
3:0
Sep 26, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Garden Village
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garden Village 31 / 100
Ely Rangers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garden Village Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ely Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Garden Village scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Away concern: Ely Rangers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Garden Village VS Ely Rangers
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Garden Village

(Home)
18 Oct
Garden Village
2 : 4
Glynneath Town
20 Sept
Cwmbach Royal Stars
3 : 4
Garden Village
14 Aug
Garden Village
2 : 3
Goytre AFC
06 Mar
Garden Village
0 : 4
Pontardawe
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
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Ely Rangers

(Away)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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