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Gardnersville vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gardnersville
6%
Draws
90%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • BEA Mountain have won more games recently than Gardnersville.
  • Model gives BEA Mountain a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 10%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville BEA Mountain
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.63 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs BEA Mountain
1:5
Nov 2, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Gardnersville
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 10 / 100
BEA Mountain 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gardnersville scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

BEA Mountain let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gardnersville stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS BEA Mountain
1.63 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

BEA Mountain

(Away)
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
09 Apr
BEA Mountain
1 : 3
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watanga26168240:2056
2BEA Mountain26157456:2252
3FC Fassell26138531:1747
4LPRC Oiler26118736:2941
5Liberia Registry26125931:3341
6Paynesville26108841:4238
7Discoveries2698931:2335
8Wologizi26971038:4034
9Heaven Eleven26711833:3532
10Borough FC26691133:4427
11Downtown26761332:4427
12Gardnersville26761336:5127
13Black Man Warrior26481416:2820
14Freeport26451738:6417
15Jubilee00000:00
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)