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Gardnersville vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gardnersville
15%
Draws
67%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • BEA Mountain have won more games recently than Gardnersville.
  • Model gives BEA Mountain a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 10%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville BEA Mountain
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs BEA Mountain
1:5
Nov 2, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Gardnersville
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 10 / 100
BEA Mountain 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gardnersville scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

BEA Mountain let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gardnersville stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS BEA Mountain
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

BEA Mountain

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)