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Gardnersville vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Gardnersville Logo

Gardnersville

4 - 2
FT
Freeport Logo

Freeport

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gardnersville in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gardnersville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gardnersville
35%
Draws
32%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gardnersville lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • Win probability leans Freeport's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 15%
Freeport Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville Freeport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs Freeport
4:2
Nov 9, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Gardnersville
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 27 / 100
Freeport 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Freeport conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gardnersville's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gardnersville remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS Freeport
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)