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Stadium Background

Gardnersville vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gardnersville in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gardnersville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gardnersville
33%
Draws
40%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Freeport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gardnersville lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • Win probability leans Freeport's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 15%
Freeport Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville Freeport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs Freeport
4:2
Nov 9, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Gardnersville
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 27 / 100
Freeport 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Freeport conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gardnersville's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gardnersville remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS Freeport
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watanga26168240:2056
2BEA Mountain26157456:2252
3FC Fassell26138531:1747
4LPRC Oiler26118736:2941
5Liberia Registry26125931:3341
6Paynesville26108841:4238
7Discoveries2698931:2335
8Wologizi26971038:4034
9Heaven Eleven26711833:3532
10Borough FC26691133:4427
11Downtown26761332:4427
12Gardnersville26761336:5127
13Black Man Warrior26481416:2820
14Freeport26451738:6417
15Jubilee00000:00
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)