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Gardony Varosi vs Pecsi MFC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gardony Varosi play Pecsi MFC in the NB III - Southwest 2024/2025. Pecsi MFC are favorites here. Recently, Gardony Varosi averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Pecsi MFC averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Gardony Varosi won 0, Pecsi MFC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Gardony Varosi and 1.80 for Pecsi MFC. This points to a Pecsi MFC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gardony Varosi
18%
Draws
66%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Gardony Varosi picked up more points recently compared to Pecsi MFC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 11%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardony Varosi Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.1 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Pecsi MFC
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Gardony Varosi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gardony Varosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Daru B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Preklet C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardony Varosi 17 / 100
Pecsi MFC 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardony Varosi Pecsi MFC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pecsi MFC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gardony Varosi attacking → ← attacking Pecsi MFC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gardony Varosi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Pecsi MFC let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Gardony Varosi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pecsi MFC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 76
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097