Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bugesera in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bugesera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Gasogi United haven't matched Bugesera's recent run of results.
- Model gives Gasogi United a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 68%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gasogi United | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Bugesera
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs Gasogi United
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Bugesera
2:2
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Gasogi United
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Bugesera
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gasogi United 77 / 100
Bugesera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gasogi United Bugesera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gasogi United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bugesera let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Bugesera lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Gasogi United scored in 53% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Gasogi United VS Bugesera
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gasogi United
(Home) 28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2 Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1 Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1 Gicumbi
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Police
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2 Etincelles
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1 Gicumbi
17 Apr
Gasogi United
2 : 1 Gorilla
14 Mar
Gasogi United
0 : 1 Bugesera
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Bugesera
(Away) 30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2 Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0 Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2 Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1 Bugesera
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4 Marines
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30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2 Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0 Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2 Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1 Bugesera
03 May
Muhanga
1 : 0 Bugesera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
