Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gasogi United vs Police

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gasogi United
40%
Draws
29%
Police
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gasogi United average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Police's 0.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Police have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasogi United Police
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 17
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Police
0:1
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Gasogi United
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Police
0:2
Dec 27, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Gasogi United
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Gasogi United
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 32 / 100
Police 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasogi United Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gasogi United scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Gasogi United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Police
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729