Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gateshead vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Gateshead Logo

Gateshead

3 - 4
FT
Newcastle Utd U21 Logo

Newcastle Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Adom K.
15' Event
Neave S.
Assist: Shahar L.
21' Event
Chapman H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U21 in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gateshead
15%
Draws
59%
Newcastle Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gateshead have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gateshead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:4
Jan 21, 2025 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gateshead Compare

Top Goalscorer Adom K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chapman H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Neave S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzgerald K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 32 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gateshead scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Newcastle Utd U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Gateshead remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
15 Aug
Gateshead
2 : 0
Woking
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1
Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1
Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1
Gateshead
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)