Sport Picks
Gateshead vs Scunthorpe
England
National League 2025/2026 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead 
Match Events
22'
22'
Nicholson B.
Assist: Ward K.
26'
26'
Sub
Boyce A. In: Evans W.
Out: Boyce A.
50'
50'
Ward K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Gateshead in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gateshead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gateshead haven't matched Scunthorpe's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Scunthorpe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 11%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gateshead | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 National League
Gateshead vs Scunthorpe
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League
Scunthorpe vs Gateshead
2:0
Apr 7, 2023 National League
Gateshead vs Scunthorpe
2:0
Oct 25, 2022 National League
Scunthorpe vs Gateshead
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicholson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Scunthorpe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gateshead 27 / 100
Scunthorpe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gateshead Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gateshead's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scunthorpe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Gateshead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gateshead VS Scunthorpe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
14 Jul
Hebburn Town
3 : 3 Gateshead
11 Jul
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1 Gateshead
07 Jul
Blyth Town
0 : 6 Gateshead
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
18 Apr
Gateshead
0 : 3 Woking
06 Apr
Gateshead
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
28 Mar
Gateshead
2 : 1 Yeovil
Page 1 of 3
Scunthorpe
(Away) 28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6 Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2 Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1 Scunthorpe
07 Jul
Brigg Town
1 : 7 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6 Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2 Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1 Scunthorpe
07 Jul
Brigg Town
1 : 7 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
