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Gateshead vs Tamworth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gateshead host Tamworth in the National League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tamworth have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Gateshead have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Gateshead have won 2 to Tamworth's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.06) back Tamworth to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Gateshead
15%
Draws
85%
Tamworth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Gateshead.
  • Win probability leans Tamworth's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateshead Tamworth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Gateshead
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Tamworth
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Tamworth
0:2
Oct 8, 2024 National League
Tamworth vs Gateshead
2:1
Apr 5, 2014 National League
Gateshead vs Tamworth
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateshead 10 / 100
Tamworth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateshead Tamworth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tamworth conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Gateshead found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: Tamworth has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gateshead VS Tamworth
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateshead

(Home)
03 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 2
Worthing FC
29 Sept
Gateshead
0 : 1
Altrincham
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

Tamworth

(Away)
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
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