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Gateway United vs Osun United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The NNL 2024/2025 game between Gateway United and Osun United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gateway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gateway United
15%
Draws
42%
Osun United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gateway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Osun United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gateway United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NNL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gateway United Clean Sheet 20%
Osun United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateway United Osun United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 NNL
Gateway United vs Osun United
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 NNL
Osun United vs Gateway United
3:0
May 12, 2024 NNL
Gateway United vs Osun United
2:0
Dec 6, 2023 NNL
Osun United vs Gateway United
1:1
Jun 18, 2022 NNL
Osun United vs Gateway United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateway United 42 / 100
Osun United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateway United Osun United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateway United found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Osun United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Osun United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gateway United VS Osun United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateway United

(Home)
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2
Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0
Gateway United
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
07 Mar
Gateway United
1 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
Page 1 of 6

Osun United

(Away)
16 Apr
Osun United
0 : 1
Sporting Lagos
04 Apr
Osun United
2 : 1
Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0
Osun United
25 Mar
Osun United
0 : 1
Stormers
14 Mar
Rovers FC
2 : 0
Osun United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warri Wolves 18 11 6 1 27:11 39
2 Crown FC 18 11 3 4 17:13 36
3 Inter Lagos 18 8 6 4 24:11 30
4 Smart City 18 7 7 4 20:17 28
5 Beyond Limits FC 18 6 6 6 30:23 24
6 Abia Comets 18 5 8 5 17:14 23
7 Edel FC 18 6 3 9 19:20 21
8 Dakkada FC 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
9 Ijele 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Igbajo 18 2 3 13 7:31 9
11 1472 FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kun Khalifa 20 10 7 3 21:13 37
2 Osun United 20 11 3 6 21:13 36
3 Sporting Lagos 20 9 5 6 27:16 32
4 Rovers FC 20 9 4 7 23:21 31
5 Solution 20 8 5 7 27:24 29
6 ABS 20 8 2 10 18:23 26
7 Godswill Akpabio 20 6 6 8 22:19 24
8 First Bank 20 7 3 10 17:26 24
9 Abakaliki 20 6 5 9 17:20 23
10 Madiba 20 7 2 11 25:33 23
11 Gateway United 20 6 4 10 21:31 22
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wikki Tourists 12 7 2 3 21:10 23
2 Barau 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
3 Gombe 12 6 0 6 13:11 18
4 Sokoto United 12 5 1 6 8:9 16
5 Mighty Jets 12 4 3 5 9:12 15
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 11:16 14
7 Zamfara United 12 4 2 6 10:18 14
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yobe Stars 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
2 Doma United 12 5 4 3 14:11 19
3 Kebbi 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
4 Basira 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
5 Sporting Supreme 12 5 1 6 13:17 16
6 Kada Warriors 12 4 3 5 12:16 15
7 Adamawa Utd 12 4 1 7 15:18 13
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)