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Gauthiod vs Kumla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Engdahl R.
32' Event
Berg J.
42' Event
Mand A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 game between Gauthiod and Kumla finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gauthiod
35%
Draws
32%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kumla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kumla's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gauthiod Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gauthiod Kumla
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Kumla
1:4
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Gauthiod
2:0
Aug 21, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Kumla
4:1
May 1, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Gauthiod
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Gauthiod vs Kumla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gauthiod Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Engdahl R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mand A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gauthiod 28 / 100
Kumla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gauthiod Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Gauthiod found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Gauthiod went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kumla
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gauthiod

(Home)
24 Jun
Gauthiod
2 : 3
IK Zenith
20 Oct
Gauthiod
2 : 2
IFK Skovde
13 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
Gauthiod
05 Oct
Gauthiod
1 : 3
Motala
28 Sept
Gauthiod
4 : 4
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 7

Kumla

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Skovde 26 19 4 3 61:25 61
2 Kongahalla 26 14 5 7 52:37 47
3 Herrestads AIF 26 13 6 7 46:30 45
4 Ahlafors 26 10 9 7 47:41 39
5 Lidkoping 26 10 9 7 38:34 39
6 Grebbestad 26 11 5 10 59:38 38
7 Kumla 26 10 8 8 49:46 38
8 Motala 26 10 7 9 47:51 37
9 Vanersborgs FK 26 10 3 13 38:48 33
10 Forward 26 6 10 10 38:39 28
11 Vanersborgs IF 26 7 6 13 30:47 27
12 Stenungsunds IF 26 5 9 12 28:44 24
13 Gauthiod 26 6 6 14 36:62 24
14 Saffle SK 26 5 5 16 29:56 20
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)