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Gaviao vs Altamira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Gaviao and Altamira finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaviao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Gaviao
20%
Draws
7%
Altamira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gaviao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gaviao a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gaviao have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 20%
Altamira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaviao Altamira
Matches Played 23 8
Wins 6 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.04 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Paraense A3
Altamira vs Gaviao
0:1
Sep 11, 2026 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Altamira
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Altamira
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Paraense A3
Altamira vs Gaviao
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao 85 / 100
Altamira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaviao Altamira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Altamira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Gaviao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gaviao VS Altamira
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaviao

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
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Altamira

(Away)
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
26 Oct
Altamira
1 : 2
Atletico Paraense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)