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Gaviao vs Atletico Paraense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Gaviao and Atletico Paraense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Paraense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gaviao
20%
Draws
33%
Atletico Paraense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Paraense come out ahead of Gaviao on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gaviao a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Paraense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaviao Atletico Paraense
Matches Played 23 13
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.04 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Paraense A3
Atletico Paraense vs Gaviao
3:1
Nov 14, 2025 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Atletico Paraense
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Paraense A3
Atletico Paraense vs Gaviao
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Atletico Paraense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao 65 / 100
Atletico Paraense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaviao Atletico Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Gaviao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Atletico Paraense conceded in 46% of 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gaviao VS Atletico Paraense
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaviao

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
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Atletico Paraense

(Away)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)