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Gaviao vs Belenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Gaviao Logo

Gaviao

Fri, Oct 2, 2026
2 - 0
06:00 PM
Belenense Logo

Belenense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gaviao
20%
Draws
40%
Belenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gaviao haven't matched Belenense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Belenense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gaviao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 10%
Belenense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaviao Belenense
Matches Played 23 17
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.04 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Paraense A3
Gaviao vs Belenense
2:0
Sep 28, 2026 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Gaviao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao 29 / 100
Belenense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaviao Belenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Belenense let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gaviao has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gaviao VS Belenense
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaviao

(Home)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
Page 1 of 5

Belenense

(Away)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tesla 5
Pedreira 3
Venus 2
Pinheirense 3
Parauapebas 3
Sport Belem 1
Belenense 1
Gaviao 2
Semi-finals
Tesla -
Pinheirense -
Parauapebas -
Gaviao -
Final
TBD -
TBD -