Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros

1 - 1

FC Santiago

Our Tip

Match Events

80'

Morales Campos J. M.

90'

Gonzalez O.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Gavilanes de Matamoros and FC Santiago finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Gavilanes de Matamoros

28%

Draws

50%

FC Santiago

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Santiago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FC Santiago carry the better recent record into this one.
FC Santiago are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 16%

FC Santiago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gavilanes de Matamoros	FC Santiago
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	15
Draws	6	9
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.38	2
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros vs FC Santiago

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Aug 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

FC Santiago vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales Campos J. M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gavilanes de Matamoros 23 / 100

FC Santiago 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gavilanes de Matamoros FC Santiago

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gavilanes de Matamoros found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Santiago let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gavilanes de Matamoros remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros VS FC Santiago

1.38 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17