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Gavilanes de Matamoros vs FC Santiago

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Gavilanes de Matamoros Logo

Gavilanes de Matamoros

1 - 1
FT
FC Santiago Logo

FC Santiago

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Morales Campos J. M.
90' Event
Gonzalez O.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Gavilanes de Matamoros and FC Santiago finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
15%
Draws
34%
FC Santiago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Santiago carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gavilanes de Matamoros are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gavilanes de Matamoros FC Santiago
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs FC Santiago
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales Campos J. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gavilanes de Matamoros 50 / 100
FC Santiago 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gavilanes de Matamoros FC Santiago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gavilanes de Matamoros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gavilanes de Matamoros found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Santiago let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gavilanes de Matamoros remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros VS FC Santiago
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gavilanes de Matamoros

(Home)
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0
Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6

FC Santiago

(Away)
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
30 Aug
Vaqueros
1 : 0
FC Santiago
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)