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Gazte Berriak vs Doneztebe FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
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Match Events

38' Event
Rangel A.
82'
Pena Aguilar D. F.
82'
Pena Aguilar D. F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Gazte Berriak and Doneztebe FT finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gazte Berriak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gazte Berriak
30%
Draws
23%
Doneztebe FT
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gazte Berriak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Gazte Berriak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gazte Berriak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 20%
Doneztebe FT Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazte Berriak Doneztebe FT
Matches Played 5 5
Wins 3 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 1 2
Goals Scored 1.2 2
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Gazte Berriak vs Doneztebe FT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazte Berriak Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Doneztebe FT Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazte Berriak 36 / 100
Doneztebe FT 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazte Berriak Doneztebe FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gazte Berriak scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Doneztebe FT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Gazte Berriak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gazte Berriak VS Doneztebe FT
1 Goals Scored 1.67
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.17
33% Over 1.5 67%
17% Over 2.5 33%
17% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazte Berriak

(Home)
04 Oct
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
Doneztebe FT
26 Sept
Aoiz
1 : 1
Gazte Berriak
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza

Doneztebe FT

(Away)
04 Oct
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
Doneztebe FT
25 Sept
Doneztebe FT
3 : 3
Huarte
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
3 Gazte Berriak 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
4 Beti Kozkor 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Doneztebe FT 5 1 2 2 10:7 5
10 CD Beti Onak 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
11 Valle Egues 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 Txantrea 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
13 Huarte 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
14 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
15 Cortes 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)