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Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto in this 4. liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Nove Mesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gbely
20%
Draws
40%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AFC Nove Mesto at 1.28 per game, Gbely at 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Gbely's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AFC Nove Mesto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gbely Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gbely AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
May 3, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gbely 36 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gbely AFC Nove Mesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Gbely scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gbely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gbely VS AFC Nove Mesto
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gbely

(Home)
04 Oct
Pata
1 : 0
Gbely
26 Sept
Gbely
0 : 0
Boleraz
19 Sept
Soporna
1 : 2
Gbely
12 Sept
Gbely
4 : 1
Malzenice B
05 Sept
Kanianka
3 : 1
Gbely
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AFC Nove Mesto

(Away)
02 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Kanianka
27 Sept
Stankovce
3 : 2
AFC Nove Mesto
19 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
0 : 0
Piestany
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
05 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Blava
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