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Stadium Background

Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto in this 4. liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Nove Mesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gbely
6%
Draws
90%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gbely haven't matched AFC Nove Mesto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AFC Nove Mesto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AFC Nove Mesto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gbely AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
May 3, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gbely 10 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gbely AFC Nove Mesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Gbely scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gbely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gbely VS AFC Nove Mesto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%