Sport Picks

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GD Alcochetense vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Chimaraoke J.

AI Match Summary

Louletano in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
GD Alcochetense
20%
Draws
42%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Louletano have won more games recently than GD Alcochetense.
  • Model gives GD Alcochetense a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%
Louletano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Alcochetense Louletano
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Louletano
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs GD Alcochetense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Alcochetense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Chimaraoke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Alcochetense 95 / 100
Louletano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Alcochetense Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Alcochetense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

GD Alcochetense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Louletano has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

GD Alcochetense VS Louletano
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Alcochetense

(Home)
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Lagoa
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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Louletano

(Away)
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)