Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

GD Alcochetense

2 - 0

O Elvas CAD

Our Tip

Match Events

48'

Alao E.

72'

Geraldo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between GD Alcochetense and O Elvas CAD finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Alcochetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

GD Alcochetense

17%

Draws

13%

O Elvas CAD

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

GD Alcochetense carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans GD Alcochetense's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%

O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GD Alcochetense	O Elvas CAD
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

GD Alcochetense vs O Elvas CAD

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

O Elvas CAD vs GD Alcochetense

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Alcochetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alao E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Geraldo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

O Elvas CAD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Alcochetense 77 / 100

O Elvas CAD 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GD Alcochetense O Elvas CAD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Alcochetense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: O Elvas CAD conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

GD Alcochetense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GD Alcochetense VS O Elvas CAD

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Louletano	26	14	8	4	36:15	50
2	Malveira	26	13	8	5	38:23	47
3	Alverca B	26	14	5	7	49:32	47
4	Juv. Evora	26	12	10	4	36:23	46
5	GD Alcochetense	26	11	8	7	33:22	41
6	Sintrense	26	11	7	8	30:25	40
7	Lagoa	26	11	6	9	44:34	39
8	O Elvas CAD	26	9	7	10	33:29	34
9	Serpa	26	9	7	10	28:34	34
10	Oriental	26	7	11	8	29:35	32
11	Moncarapachense	26	7	10	9	21:21	31
12	Portimonense B	26	6	4	16	19:42	22
13	Industria	26	2	8	16	20:45	14
14	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	26	1	11	14	20:56	14