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GD Alcochetense vs Portimonense B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Joca
50' Event
Araujo R.
64' Event
Alao E.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between GD Alcochetense and Portimonense B finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Alcochetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
GD Alcochetense
30%
Draws
6%
Portimonense B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Alcochetense come out ahead of Portimonense B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GD Alcochetense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%
Portimonense B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Alcochetense Portimonense B
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.6 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Portimonense B
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portimonense B vs GD Alcochetense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Alcochetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portimonense B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Alcochetense 95 / 100
Portimonense B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Alcochetense Portimonense B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Alcochetense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

GD Alcochetense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portimonense B has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

GD Alcochetense VS Portimonense B
1.38 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Alcochetense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
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Portimonense B

(Away)
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Malveira
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)