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GD Braganca vs Celoricense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Silvano N.
82' Event
Zakari B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between GD Braganca and Celoricense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
GD Braganca
15%
Draws
35%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Braganca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives GD Braganca a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • GD Braganca have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Celoricense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal
GD Braganca vs Celoricense
6:1
Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Celoricense
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs GD Braganca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvano N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Celoricense Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakari B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
Celoricense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Braganca found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: GD Braganca stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Celoricense let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS Celoricense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
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Celoricense

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)