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GD Braganca vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Jailson S. B.
Own Goal
68' Event
Danny
68'
Machado N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
GD Braganca
15%
Draws
35%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Braganca have won more games recently than Chaves B.
  • Win probability leans GD Braganca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Chaves B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs GD Braganca
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Chaves B
1:1
Mar 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Chaves B
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs GD Braganca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Danny
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Chaves B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
Chaves B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Braganca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: GD Braganca scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chaves B let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS Chaves B
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
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Chaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)