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GD Braganca vs GD Joane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Paulo L.
16' Event
Gomes J.
Own Goal
33'
da Silva Ferreirinha L. A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between GD Braganca and GD Joane finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Joane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
GD Braganca
20%
Draws
19%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • GD Braganca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • GD Braganca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca GD Joane
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 23 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.82 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs GD Braganca
0:3
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs GD Joane
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Braganca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
GD Joane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Braganca found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

GD Joane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

GD Braganca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
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GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)