Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GD Braganca vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maria de Fonte in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GD Braganca
6%
Draws
4%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • GD Braganca have won more games recently than Maria de Fonte.
  • GD Braganca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 20 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Maria de Fonte
1:3
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Maria de Fonte
3:2
Jan 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
3:2
Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 95 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Maria de Fonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

GD Braganca found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (42 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: GD Braganca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Vianense26165537:1953
2Amarante FC26149343:2551
3Tirsense261421039:2544
4Pevidem26134937:3043
5Vila Mea26116939:3039
6Vilar de Perdizes26812633:3236
7Brito2698921:2835
8Dumiense26971034:3534
9Merelinense2689932:3233
10Pedras Salgadas26881027:2832
11Desportivo Moncao26761334:4527
12Maria de Fonte26671327:4525
13Sao Martinho26591224:3424
14GD Braganca26561520:3921