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GD Braganca vs Vila Mea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Braganca host Vila Mea in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vila Mea have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while GD Braganca have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.58. Past meetings favor Vila Mea slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2023, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.06, favoring GD Braganca. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
GD Braganca
20%
Draws
36%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Vila Mea haven't matched GD Braganca's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Braganca Vila Mea
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 14
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vila Mea vs GD Braganca
2:1
Dec 17, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Vila Mea
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Braganca 31 / 100
Vila Mea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Braganca Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Braganca scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Vila Mea let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

GD Braganca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GD Braganca VS Vila Mea
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Braganca

(Home)
01 Nov
GD Braganca
0 : 1
Tirsense
25 Oct
Maria de Fonte
1 : 2
GD Braganca
17 Oct
Leiria
2 : 1
GD Braganca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 7

Vila Mea

(Away)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Vila Mea
1 : 3
Brito
11 Oct
Celoricense
0 : 0
Vila Mea
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)