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GD Coruchense vs Alcains

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
GD Coruchense Logo

GD Coruchense

4 - 0
FT
Alcains Logo

Alcains

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between GD Coruchense and Alcains finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Coruchense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
GD Coruchense
15%
Draws
36%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Coruchense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Coruchense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans GD Coruchense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%
Alcains Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense Alcains
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs GD Coruchense
0:3
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Alcains
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 68 / 100
Alcains 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense Alcains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

GD Coruchense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Alcains let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Away concern: Alcains has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcains
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

Alcains

(Away)
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
15 Mar
Marinhense
1 : 0
Alcains
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)