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GD Coruchense vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
GD Coruchense Logo

GD Coruchense

2 - 4
FT
Mortagua FC Logo

Mortagua FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GD Coruchense
20%
Draws
57%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mortagua FC have won more games recently than GD Coruchense.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mortagua FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 22%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense Mortagua FC
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 10 22
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Mortagua FC
2:4
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs GD Coruchense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 29 / 100
Mortagua FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mortagua FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

GD Coruchense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mortagua FC has conceded goals in 64% of their last 44 outings.

GD Coruchense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
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Mortagua FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Fazendense
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1
Mortagua FC
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)