Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GD Coruchense vs Trofense

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Okitokandjo S.
53' Event
Okitokandjo S.

AI Match Summary

Trofense in this Taça de Portugal 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GD Coruchense
20%
Draws
40%
Trofense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • GD Coruchense have won more games recently than Trofense.
  • Model gives GD Coruchense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • GD Coruchense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trofense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 20%
Trofense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense Trofense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Taça de Portugal
GD Coruchense vs Trofense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Coruchense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Trofense Compare

Top Goalscorer Okitokandjo S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 67 / 100
Trofense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense Trofense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GD Coruchense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Trofense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Trofense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trofense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

Trofense

(Away)
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
Varzim
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pero Pinheiro 7
AD Portomosense 1
Ferreiras 2
Culatrense 0
SC Pombal 2
Tomar 1
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Guarda Desportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 5
SC Salgueiros 2
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Maria de Fonte 0
Merelinense 4
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Alcains 0
Sertanense 1
TBD -
Castro Daire -
Lusitano FCV 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 3
Vila Cortez 1
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
Leca 1
GD Resende 2
FC Felgueiras 5
Mondinense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 3
Sao Roque 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
Juv. Evora 3
Moncarapachense 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Oriental Dragon 2
1º Dezembro 1
Canelas 2010 2
Regua 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 1
Rebordosa 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 2
Vila Mea 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Marinhense 0
Leiria 1
Rebordelo 0
CDC Montalegre 5
Sao Joao de Ver 7
Mortagua FC 1
Esperanca de Lagos 2
Industria 0
Vila Caiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense -
TBD -
Santa Eulalia 0
Tirsense 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal -
SB Castelo Branco 8
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC -
TBD -
Dumiense 4
Brito 1
Sintrense 1
Fazendense 0
TBD -
Real SC -
Vilaverdense FC 3
Atletico Arcos 1
TBD -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Atletico SC 2
Olhanense 5
TBD -
Monte do Trigo -
Freamunde 2
GD Joane 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Machico -
TBD -
Alverca 2
Rio Maior SC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Oriental 1
FC Madalena 0
FC Alpendorada 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Courense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Amarante FC 0
Arronches Benfica 2
Mosteirense 0
Vinhais 0
SC Vianense 4
GS Loures -
TBD -
Meda 0
Beira Mar 6
GD Braganca 2
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Montijo -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Santarem 1
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 5
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal -
TBD -
Serpa 3
Castrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Lusitano GC 0
GD Fontinhas 2
SC Lusitania 2
SC Praiense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
1/64-finals
Pero Pinheiro 2
Ferreiras 1
SC Pombal 2
Vigor Mocidade 0
Vitoria Setubal 4
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Sao Martinho 4
Guarda Desportiva 3
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Valadares Gaia FC 2
Olivais e Moscavide 0
TBD -
Chaves -
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oliveirense 4
Academica 1
Tondela 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Merelinense 3
CD Rabo Peixe 4
Sertanense 3
Castro Daire 0
Sanjoanense 3
Os Marialvas 1
CF Os Belenenses 3
Torreense 1
GD Resende 1
FC Felgueiras 2
TBD -
Braga -
Lajense 1
Moreirense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Vilafranquense 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Canelas 2010 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Gondomar 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Vizela -
Varzim 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Leiria 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Vila Caiz 1
Amora 3
TBD -
Estoril -
Caldas SC 3
Covilha 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Paivense 1
Tirsense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Leixoes 5
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 0
Imortal 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
SC Farense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Trofense 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Moura AC 0
Dumiense 5
Sintrense 2
Real SC 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
Atletico CP 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oliveira Hospital 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Olhanense 1
Monte do Trigo 0
GD Joane 0
BSAD 3
Machico 2
Alverca 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Academico Viseu 6
Oriental 2
Paredes 1
Silves FC 3
Courense 5
ACDR Lamelas 0
Camacha 1
Arronches Benfica 0
SC Vianense 2
GS Loures 0
Beira Mar 3
GD Braganca 1
Montijo 0
Agueda 0
Pevidem 1
Santarem 0
Mafra 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
AD Fafe 1
Anadia 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Serpa 8
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
GD Fontinhas 5
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
1/32-finals
Pero Pinheiro 4
SC Pombal 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Sao Martinho 0
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Chaves 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 2
Santa Clara 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sertanense 1
Sanjoanense 3
CF Os Belenenses 2
FC Felgueiras 1
Braga 2
Moreirense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Canelas 2010 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Penafiel 3
Vizela 4
Varzim 1
Sporting CP 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sao Joao de Ver 3
Amora 2
Estoril 3
Caldas SC 1
Benfica 2
Tirsense 1
Leixoes 4
Imortal 0
SC Farense 3
Trofense 0
Famalicao 1
Dumiense 2
Real SC 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Portimonense 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 0
BSAD 2
Machico 1
Boavista 0
Academico Viseu 1
Oriental 0
Courense 0
Camacha 6
SC Vianense 1
Beira Mar 2
GD Braganca 0
Pevidem 1
Mafra 4
Maritimo 2
Anadia 0
FC Porto 6
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 3
GD Fontinhas 0
Arouca 2
1/16-finals
Pero Pinheiro 1
Vitoria Setubal 4
Casa Pia 2
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Nacional 1
Tondela 0
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Sanjoanense 0
Braga 2
Moreirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Vizela 1
Varzim 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Estoril 0
Benfica 1
Leixoes 3
SC Farense 1
Famalicao 4
Dumiense 1
Vilaverdense FC 7
Oliveira Hospital 0
BSAD 4
Machico 0
Academico Viseu 3
Camacha 0
Beira Mar 3
Pevidem 2
Mafra 0
FC Porto 3
Gil Vicente 1
Arouca 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Setubal 0
Casa Pia 1
Nacional 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Braga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Varzim 0
Benfica 2
Leixoes 1
Famalicao 2
Vilaverdense FC 1
BSAD 4
Academico Viseu 2
Beira Mar 0
FC Porto 4
Arouca 0
Quarter-finals
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 5
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Famalicao 4
BSAD 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Nacional 2
Braga 7
Famalicao 3
FC Porto 5
Final
Braga 0
FC Porto 2