Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GD Fontinhas vs Santarem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
John Anderson
22' Event
Rosa N.
53' Event
Pinto L.

AI Match Summary

GD Fontinhas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Fontinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
GD Fontinhas
30%
Draws
33%
Santarem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Fontinhas lately — more wins on the board than Santarem.
  • Model gives GD Fontinhas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 20%
Santarem Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Fontinhas Santarem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs GD Fontinhas
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Santarem
3:2
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs GD Fontinhas
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Santarem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Fontinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John Anderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santarem Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Fontinhas 42 / 100
Santarem 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Fontinhas Santarem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarem has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

GD Fontinhas found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

GD Fontinhas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santarem
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Fontinhas

(Home)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

Santarem

(Away)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)