Sport Picks
GD Fontinhas vs SB Castelo Branco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 
Match Events
28'
28'
Djabi Sauane I.
67'
67'
Djabi Sauane I.
89'
89'
Coelho R.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 game between GD Fontinhas and SB Castelo Branco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Fontinhas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Fontinhas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SB Castelo Branco come out ahead of GD Fontinhas on wins alone.
- Win probability leans GD Fontinhas's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Fontinhas | SB Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs SB Castelo Branco
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs GD Fontinhas
2:0
Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs SB Castelo Branco
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SB Castelo Branco vs GD Fontinhas
0:1
Feb 9, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs GD Fontinhas
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GD Fontinhas Compare
Top Goalscorer Djabi Sauane I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
SB Castelo Branco Compare
Top Goalscorer Balelo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GD Fontinhas 68 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GD Fontinhas SB Castelo Branco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Fontinhas scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
GD Fontinhas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
GD Fontinhas
(Home) 07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0 GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1 GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0 Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1 GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0 Tomar
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0 Mortagua FC
28 Feb
GD Fontinhas
0 : 2 Sertanense
25 Feb
GD Fontinhas
1 : 1 Marinhense
11 Feb
GD Fontinhas
2 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 3
SB Castelo Branco
(Away) 13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3 Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4 Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3 SB Castelo Branco
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santarem | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 52:23 | 55 |
| 2 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Marinhense | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 43:26 | 50 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 5 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:29 | 37 |
| 7 | GD Peniche | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 28:39 | 37 |
| 8 | Sertanense | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 37 |
| 9 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:36 | 37 |
| 10 | GD Fontinhas | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | 32 |
| 11 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:34 | 28 |
| 12 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17:30 | 25 |
| 13 | CD Gouveia | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 14 | Tomar | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 20:53 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)
