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GD Joane vs Dumiense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Silva M.
20' Event
Azevedo L.
25' Event
Dias M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between GD Joane and Dumiense finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Joane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
GD Joane
30%
Draws
39%
Dumiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dumiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dumiense come out ahead of GD Joane on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GD Joane's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 68%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Dumiense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Dumiense
4:3
Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs GD Joane
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rashid
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 59 / 100
Dumiense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Dumiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Joane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

GD Joane found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: GD Joane stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Joane VS Dumiense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Joane

(Home)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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Dumiense

(Away)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)