Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GD Joane vs SC Vianense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Abreu M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between GD Joane and SC Vianense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Vianense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GD Joane
20%
Draws
57%
SC Vianense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vianense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SC Vianense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SC Vianense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 10%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane SC Vianense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.9 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs SC Vianense
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vianense vs GD Joane
2:1
Sep 2, 2007 Taça de Portugal
GD Joane vs SC Vianense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

SC Vianense Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 10 / 100
SC Vianense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane SC Vianense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

GD Joane's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SC Vianense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

GD Joane has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Vianense
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Joane

(Home)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
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SC Vianense

(Away)
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
30 Aug
SC Vianense
8 : 0
Minas de Argozelo
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)