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GD Os Nazarenos vs Sertanense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between GD Os Nazarenos and Sertanense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
GD Os Nazarenos
35%
Draws
29%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Os Nazarenos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sertanense come out ahead of GD Os Nazarenos on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
GD Os Nazarenos Clean Sheet 19%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Os Nazarenos Sertanense
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 13
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 0.58 0.68
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Os Nazarenos vs Sertanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Os Nazarenos 32 / 100
Sertanense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Os Nazarenos Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: GD Os Nazarenos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

GD Os Nazarenos found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (12 games).

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

GD Os Nazarenos VS Sertanense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Os Nazarenos

(Home)
01 Nov
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 0
Sertanense
25 Oct
GD Os Nazarenos
1 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
11 Oct
Fatima
1 : 3
GD Os Nazarenos
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
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Sertanense

(Away)
01 Nov
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 0
Sertanense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2
Fatima
11 Oct
Os Marialvas
0 : 0
Sertanense
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)