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GD Peniche vs Naval 1893 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
GD Peniche Logo

GD Peniche

2 - 0
FT
Naval 1893 Logo

Naval 1893

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Baiao R.
87'
Ferreira L.
89' Event
Palma I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GD Peniche in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Peniche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
GD Peniche
15%
Draws
64%
Naval 1893
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naval 1893

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • GD Peniche haven't matched Naval 1893's recent run of results.
  • Naval 1893 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 10%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Peniche Naval 1893
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Naval 1893
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs GD Peniche
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Peniche Compare

Top Goalscorer Baiao R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palma I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Naval 1893 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Peniche 10 / 100
Naval 1893 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Peniche Naval 1893

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naval 1893 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Peniche scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Naval 1893's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

GD Peniche went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Peniche VS Naval 1893
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Peniche

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
Page 1 of 6

Naval 1893

(Away)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)