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GD Tourizense vs Gafanha

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017
GD Tourizense Logo

GD Tourizense

1 - 1
FT
Gafanha Logo

Gafanha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
GD Tourizense
15%
Draws
34%
Gafanha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Tourizense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Tourizense have won more games recently than Gafanha.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on GD Tourizense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
GD Tourizense Clean Sheet 20%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Tourizense Gafanha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.4 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Tourizense vs Gafanha
1:1
Nov 6, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Gafanha vs GD Tourizense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Tourizense 85 / 100
Gafanha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Tourizense Gafanha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Tourizense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

GD Tourizense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: GD Tourizense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gafanha
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Tourizense

(Home)
18 Jun
SC Mirandela
3 : 0
GD Tourizense
11 Jun
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
04 Jun
Aljustrelense
1 : 0
GD Tourizense
28 May
GD Tourizense
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
14 May
GD Tourizense
3 : 0
Cinfaes
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Gafanha

(Away)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gafanha 18 11 5 2 28:15 38
2 Lusitano FCV 18 10 4 4 36:20 34
3 Anadia 18 9 6 3 33:16 33
4 Mortagua FC 18 8 7 3 33:18 31
5 Agueda 18 8 4 6 28:24 28
6 CD Gouveia 18 6 4 8 23:25 22
7 GD Tourizense 18 6 3 9 28:31 21
8 Nogueirense 18 4 7 7 16:25 19
9 FC Pampilhosa 18 4 2 12 15:35 14
10 Academica Coimbra SF 18 1 4 13 8:39 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)