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GD Varandinha vs SC Atletico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2016 game between GD Varandinha and SC Atletico finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Varandinha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GD Varandinha
30%
Draws
47%
SC Atletico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Atletico come out ahead of GD Varandinha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 20%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Varandinha SC Atletico
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs SC Atletico
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Varandinha 32 / 100
SC Atletico 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Varandinha SC Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Atletico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

GD Varandinha found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: SC Atletico has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GD Varandinha VS SC Atletico
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Varandinha

(Home)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Palmeira
4 : 0
GD Varandinha
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3
Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1
GD Varandinha
11 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 2
Palmeira
Page 1 of 7

SC Atletico

(Away)
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
SC Atletico
31 May
SC Atletico
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
23 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
SC Atletico
10 May
SC Atletico
1 : 2
SC Africa Show
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Derby 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 GD Varandinha 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Desportivo Praia 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
4 Sporting da Brava 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 SC Atletico 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Sinagoga 5 0 2 3 4:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Academico 83 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
5 Sport Sal-Rei 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
6 Vulcanico 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)