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GE Bage vs Gramadense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Douglas Silva
71' Event
Michel Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between GE Bage and Gramadense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
GE Bage
35%
Draws
29%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gramadense's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what GE Bage have produced (0.73).
  • Win probability leans GE Bage's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Gramadense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 14
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.73 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 50 / 100
Gramadense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Bage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

GE Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: GE Bage scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Gramadense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Gramadense
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)