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GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
GE Bage Logo

GE Bage

1 - 2
FT
Guarany de Bage Logo

Guarany de Bage

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Diego Rocha
69' Event
Marcos Paulo
90' Event
Joao Victor
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
GE Bage
35%
Draws
41%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarany de Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • GE Bage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • GE Bage are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • GE Bage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarany de Bage, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
1:2
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
2:2
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Sep 9, 2021 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Paulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 46 / 100
Guarany de Bage 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GE Bage scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Guarany de Bage has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: GE Bage remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Guarany de Bage
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)