Sport Picks
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Gebenbach and Fortuna Regensburg finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gebenbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gebenbach come out ahead of Fortuna Regensburg on wins alone.
- Fortuna Regensburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gebenbach | Fortuna Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Gebenbach
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gebenbach 10 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gebenbach Fortuna Regensburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gebenbach scored in 85% of their last 33 games.
Fortuna Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Gebenbach stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gebenbach VS Fortuna Regensburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gebenbach
(Home) 03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0 Gebenbach
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1 Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3 Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4 Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1 Gebenbach
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1 Fortuna Regensburg
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4 Bayern Hof
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0 ASV Neumarkt
18 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 1 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
07 Aug
Gebenbach
1 : 2 Bamberg
Page 1 of 3
Fortuna Regensburg
(Away) 03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2 Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1 Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1 Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2 Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2 Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1 Fortuna Regensburg
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2 Fortuna Regensburg
21 Aug
TSV Kornburg
2 : 0 Fortuna Regensburg
14 Aug
DJK Ammerthal
1 : 3 Fortuna Regensburg
31 Jul
Cham
2 : 1 Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltersdorf | 32 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 55:30 | 65 |
| 2 | Cham | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 58:35 | 59 |
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68:50 | 59 |
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53:47 | 53 |
| 5 | Bamberg | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 51 |
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57:39 | 50 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 64:54 | 48 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66:58 | 45 |
| 9 | Regensburg II | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 59:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 56:51 | 43 |
| 11 | Neudrossenfeld | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 12 | TSV Kornburg | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 48:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Wurzburger FV | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46:62 | 37 |
| 14 | ATSV Erlangen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 15 | Stadeln | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 42:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Coburg | 32 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 44:81 | 30 |
| 17 | Grossschwarzenlohe | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 35:66 | 20 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)
