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Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Gebzespor
30%
Draws
8%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gebzespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / Very High Confidence
  • Gebzespor haven't matched Erbaaspor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gebzespor a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gebzespor Clean Sheet 68%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebzespor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 3. Lig Group 1
Erbaaspor vs Gebzespor
1:0
Dec 16, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebzespor 86 / 100
Erbaaspor 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebzespor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Gebzespor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Erbaaspor registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gebzespor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebzespor

(Home)
04 May
Erbaaspor
1 : 0
Gebzespor
28 Apr
Gebzespor
2 : 1
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Silivrispor
0 : 0
Gebzespor
07 Apr
Gebzespor
1 : 0
Karakopru
03 Apr
Nevsehir
1 : 1
Gebzespor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
19 Apr
Erbaaspor
1 : 1
Ankaragucu
12 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 0
Erbaaspor
08 Apr
Erbaaspor
0 : 2
Adana 01
04 Apr
24Erzincanspor
3 : 2
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trabzon FK 32 18 12 2 47:17 66
2 Nazillispor 32 17 14 1 57:27 65
3 Bucaspor 1928 32 16 11 5 48:27 59
4 Nevsehir 32 16 9 7 50:30 57
5 Ergene Velimese 32 13 11 8 43:33 50
6 Karakopru 32 12 8 12 44:45 44
7 Hopaspor 32 10 12 10 33:33 42
8 Erbaaspor 32 9 13 10 35:35 40
9 Yomraspor 32 10 9 13 39:46 39
10 Silivrispor 32 10 9 13 30:29 39
11 Batman Petrolspor 32 10 8 14 36:44 38
12 Sile Yildizspor 32 11 5 16 45:47 38
13 Iskenderunspor 32 7 16 9 47:43 37
14 Kozanspor 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
15 Tepecik 32 10 7 15 36:46 37
16 Gebzespor 32 7 13 12 30:38 34
17 Korfez SK 32 1 5 26 16:88 8
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)