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Gebzespor vs Karakopru

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Keles T.

AI Match Summary

Gebzespor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gebzespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gebzespor
20%
Draws
48%
Karakopru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karakopru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karakopru lately — more wins on the board than Gebzespor.
  • Model gives Karakopru a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gebzespor Clean Sheet 19%
Karakopru Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebzespor Karakopru
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 20
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 3. Lig Group 1
Gebzespor vs Karakopru
1:0
Nov 18, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Karakopru vs Gebzespor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gebzespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Keles T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Karakopru Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebzespor 20 / 100
Karakopru 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebzespor Karakopru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karakopru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karakopru conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gebzespor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Gebzespor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Karakopru
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebzespor

(Home)
04 May
Erbaaspor
1 : 0
Gebzespor
28 Apr
Gebzespor
2 : 1
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Silivrispor
0 : 0
Gebzespor
07 Apr
Gebzespor
1 : 0
Karakopru
03 Apr
Nevsehir
1 : 1
Gebzespor
Page 1 of 6

Karakopru

(Away)
26 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 0
Yozgat
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1
Osmaniyespor
06 Sept
Kirikkale FK
1 : 3
Karakopru
18 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 2
Karakopru
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trabzon FK 32 18 12 2 47:17 66
2 Nazillispor 32 17 14 1 57:27 65
3 Bucaspor 1928 32 16 11 5 48:27 59
4 Nevsehir 32 16 9 7 50:30 57
5 Ergene Velimese 32 13 11 8 43:33 50
6 Karakopru 32 12 8 12 44:45 44
7 Hopaspor 32 10 12 10 33:33 42
8 Erbaaspor 32 9 13 10 35:35 40
9 Yomraspor 32 10 9 13 39:46 39
10 Silivrispor 32 10 9 13 30:29 39
11 Batman Petrolspor 32 10 8 14 36:44 38
12 Sile Yildizspor 32 11 5 16 45:47 38
13 Iskenderunspor 32 7 16 9 47:43 37
14 Kozanspor 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
15 Tepecik 32 10 7 15 36:46 37
16 Gebzespor 32 7 13 12 30:38 34
17 Korfez SK 32 1 5 26 16:88 8
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)