Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025

Lech Poznan II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gedania Gdansk play Lech Poznan II in the III Liga - Group II 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gedania Gdansk averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Lech Poznan II averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Gedania Gdansk won 0, Lech Poznan II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2025 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Gedania Gdansk and 0.88 for Lech Poznan II. This points to a Lech Poznan II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Gedania Gdansk

15%

Draws

52%

Lech Poznan II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Gedania Gdansk picked up more points recently compared to Lech Poznan II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 25%

Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gedania Gdansk	Lech Poznan II
Matches Played	29	36
Wins	11	16
Draws	1	7
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.34	1.94
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznan II

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:5

Nov 30, 2024 III Liga - Group II

Lech Poznan II vs Gedania Gdansk

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowgiallo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Warciarek F.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kendzia J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 35 / 100

Lech Poznan II 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gedania Gdansk Lech Poznan II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lech Poznan II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gedania Gdansk attacking → ← attacking Lech Poznan II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Lech Poznan II let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Gedania Gdansk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lech Poznan II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kleczew	34	22	6	6	60:35	72
2	Blekitni Stargard	34	19	6	9	78:45	63
3	Zawisza	34	17	8	9	65:41	59
4	Pogon Szczecin II	34	15	13	6	72:45	58
5	Lech Poznan II	34	16	9	9	65:47	57
6	Unia Swarzedz	34	15	10	9	58:47	55
7	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	14	9	11	67:58	51
8	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	14	6	14	47:47	48
9	Elana Torun	34	11	14	9	44:42	47
10	Wda Swiecie	34	12	10	12	47:41	46
11	Notec Czarnkow	34	13	6	15	61:64	45
12	Swinoujscie	34	12	8	14	48:56	44
13	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	12	7	15	43:51	43
14	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	10	7	17	32:54	37
15	Kotwica Kornik	34	8	12	14	49:60	36
16	Gedania Gdansk	34	10	4	20	43:80	34
17	Gryf Slupsk	34	6	12	16	38:55	30
18	Vineta Wolin	34	4	5	25	48:97	17