Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Geelong vs Murray United FC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murray United FC in this NPL Victoria 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murray United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Geelong
44%
Draws
20%
Murray United FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Murray United FC average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Geelong's 0.88.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Victoria 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Geelong Clean Sheet 16%
Murray United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geelong Murray United FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Geelong vs Murray United FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geelong 36 / 100
Murray United FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geelong Murray United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Geelong scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Murray United FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Geelong remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Geelong VS Murray United FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Geelong

(Home)
15 Jul
Nunawading City
1 : 1
Geelong
07 Sept
Geelong
1 : 2
Brunswick City
31 Aug
Ballarat City
2 : 3
Geelong
24 Aug
Geelong
0 : 0
St Albans
17 Aug
Geelong
1 : 0
Goulburn Valley Suns
Page 1 of 6

Murray United FC

(Away)
07 Sept
Murray United FC
2 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 3
Murray United FC
25 Aug
Box Hill
2 : 2
Murray United FC
17 Aug
Murray United FC
1 : 2
Werribee City
03 Aug
Moreland City
3 : 4
Murray United FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eastern Lions28176554:3257
2Bulleen28165755:3953
3Northcote City281521146:4047
4Langwarrin28118944:3741
5Manningham United Blues281251148:4441
6Goulburn Valley Suns281061255:5236
7Melbourne City U2128951458:6532
8Murray United FC281041450:6431
9Box Hill284101431:4922
10Springvale28471726:7019
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Grand Final)
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Albans28174758:3055
2Brunswick Juventus28158550:3053
3Werribee City28146851:3248
4Moreland City28138757:4244
5North Geelong Warriors281351042:3544
6Brunswick City281171050:4440
7Geelong281061239:4336
8Whittlesea Rangers281061236:4936
9Melbourne Victory U2128671536:4825
10Ballarat City28352035:7614
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Grand Final)
Promotion - NPL Victoria 2 2019 (Promotion - Play Offs)