Sport Picks
Gefest Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan
First Division 2013 
AI Match Summary
Gefest Karagandy in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gefest Karagandy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ekibastuz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gefest Karagandy haven't matched FC Ekibastuz's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Ekibastuz a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gefest Karagandy | FC Ekibastuz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 52 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 21 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2014 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
Jun 29, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
0:0
Aug 17, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs FC Ekibastuz
1:0
Jun 26, 2013 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Gefest Karagandy
0:0
Sep 30, 2011 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gefest Karagandy 28 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gefest Karagandy FC Ekibastuz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Ekibastuz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: FC Ekibastuz registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
FC Ekibastuz has conceded goals in 77% of their last 52 outings.
Gefest Karagandy scored in 47% of their last 34 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS FC Ekibastuz
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gefest Karagandy
(Home) 08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar
14 Sept
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Zhenis
Page 1 of 4
FC Ekibastuz
(Away) 18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5 Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4 Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 11
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0 FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 77:20 | 74 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Kyzylzhar | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:35 | 65 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 55:31 | 65 |
| 6 | Ile-Saulet | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 66:32 | 65 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51:37 | 58 |
| 8 | FK Kyran | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 53:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Sunkar | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Ak Bulak | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:39 | 48 |
| 11 | Gefest Karagandy | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 37:46 | 44 |
| 12 | FC Ekibastuz | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:36 | 40 |
| 13 | Shakhtar Bulat | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:42 | 30 |
| 14 | Taraz-Karatau 2 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 28:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Bayterek Astana | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 32:67 | 23 |
| 16 | Maqtaaral | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:62 | 22 |
| 17 | CSKA Almaty | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:79 | 19 |
| 18 | Shymkent | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27:94 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)
